Thursday, February 14, 2008

A look at the polls

After McCain's clean sweep on Tuesday any doubt that the Republican nomination is all but sewn up was put to bed. That being said the polls coming out of the next round of states show that Obama still has a lot of messaging to get out. His lead in Wisconsin, which along with Hawaii holds a primary on Tuesday, is down to a handful with a large number of voters still claiming to be undecided. Obama is campaigning heavily here and it seems that even though Hillary has thrown some late resources into the race, his energy in the state should continue to spread and carry the day.

Beyond next Tuesday things are a lot less clear. Hillary's early front runner status is still holding strong in OH and PA where polls out today show her having a comfortable double digit lead. However, it is also clear that Obama's numbers start to go up as soon as he starts to campaign somewhere, and it only stands to figure that once WI and HI wrap up on Tuesday that TX and OH will get there chance to see what the rest of the country has been exposed to. The Ohio campaign figures to also give the campaigns an opportunity to get the message going in bordering Pennsylvania, which votes on 4/22.

The trends are all indicating that Clinton will have to fight for wins in these states and reality is already showing that she is throwing everything she has at them.

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