Monday, March 3, 2008

Tuesday Blues

As a lot of you have figured out I have cast my lot with Barack Obama... That being said, I have a rather miserable feeling about how things are going to shake out for the March 4th primaries.

The late polling out of Ohio is showing Obama's trend flat lining just short of the promised land and while he has closed a 23 point lead to single digits in the Buckeye state, it would appear that Obama's winning streak will come to a halt. What's worse is that the late polls out of Texas seem to be showing similar modeling with Hillary settling a point or two either behind or in the lead.

The good news in Texas is that there are still a large number of undecideds, who may still break Obama's way, and frankly from looking at some of the models it seems like her demo's really show up for her in numbers that they aren't going to show for Obama (which hasn't been the case yet).

Either way, the rhetoric out of the Clinton camp is very clear, unfortunately they are going to keep this going through Pennsylvania and beyond thus opting for a "nuclear" strategy in the Democratic party.

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