Sunday, March 2, 2008

Will Tuesday be the End?

I for one find myself hoping that the nomination process comes to a halt after Tuesday's voting in VT, RI, OH, and TX and that we finally have a clear field for the Democratic nominee to make their run at the White House.

However, while this may be what I am hoping for, it is far more likely that the Clinton campaign will make some sort of argument that because Obama didn't win everything by the same 15 points he did 2 weeks ago, that the electorate is having second thoughts. The problem is that Obama was trailing be more than 20 points in TX and OH a month ago and the story really is how much momentum he has brought with him. In overcoming the huge disadvantage he had in these states he will most likely win the majority of the delegates up for grabs, and with Hillary needing more than 80% of the remaining delegates at that point to break even it will be time for her to suspend her campaign.

The question is, will she be like the great candidates who see when it is time to step aside much like Ted Williams or Joe DiMaggio who saw that he could still hang in there but didn't want to do so if it meant diminishing himself, or like Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens who felt that winning at any cost is so important they are even willing to lie to themselves about how far one should really go before taking a bow and walking off the field.

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