Friday, April 25, 2008

State of the Race

So it has now been a few days since PA and now that my annoyance at how the HRC camp continues to try and spin the numbers has started to subside I think I can offer a more clear minded appraisal of where we are at.

While there are a number of people in the MSM, HRC campaign, and sheep that continue to try and make this about everything from the electoral college to who wins what they like to term "important" states the truth of the matter is this is not about who wins the overall popular vote or any other computation that ignores what this is about delegates.

Clearly, people can complain about the setup of caucuses and primaries until they are blue in the face, but at the same time you can say that having a slow bleed for an election process doesn't make any sense either. Can you imagine if in a general election we voted for President over the course of a rolling set of elections?

That would not work, and would clearly lead to chaos. Unfortunately, so does trying to make the same type of argument out of the nominating process by applying general election rules and principals.

Another thing to keep in mind is strategy. Barack Obama has caught a lot of flack for not wanting to stomp on Hillary's head and get things over with. Some have turned to calling this closing the deal, while others have tried to equate this to some sort of general election weakness.

However, what is important to keep in mind is that in running against Hillary, Obama has had to walk a delicate line. We have already seen that happens when the media tone against her Clinton and her surrogates have a great way of spinning it as her being beaten upon as a woman. All one has to do is look at the blowback from the New Hampshire debate where Edwards and Obama were perceived to have ganged up on her. Immediately afterwards she was cast as being this wounded lamb who needed all the woman to unite and show the men that they won't allow that to happen to her. In fact, one has heard similar messages from her every time she has had to go to the well for her strongest backers (women) to come to her rescue. As a result, Obama is really running the only campaign against her that he can without completely losing the women's vote that makes up the majority of the Democratic party.

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